Will the Revived JCPOA Survive? Implications of the Renewed Iran Nuclear Agreement

Against all odds, nuclear negotiators managed to revive the Iran nuclear agreement earlier today. By blocking Iran’s pathway to a nuclear weapon, there is little doubt that the deal serves U.S. interests. Nor can there be any doubt that the U.S. is better off with the agreement than without. Yet as important as this achievement is, can this agreement survive and avoid the same fate as the 2015 agreement? Will it be able to withstand political winds in Washington? Will the Raisi government in Iran comply with the agreement despite its misgivings about America’s commitment to the deal beyond 2025? What are the regional implications of the deal? Will it push Saudi-UAE-Iranian diplomacy forward or will it set it back? Israel has opposed the deal but is increasingly finding itself isolated in its opposition. How will Israel navigate the new landscape with the JCPOA being back in play? Join us for a conversation addressing these issues with Aaron David Miller of the Carnegie Endowment, Vali Nasr of Johns Hopkins SAIS, and Suzanne DiMaggio of the Carnegie Endowment and the Quincy Institute. Trita Parsi of the Quincy Institute will moderate. The discussion will take place on Monday, March 21 from 11 am to noon EDT. REGISTER FOR EVENT

Panelists

Vali Nasr

Vali Nasr is the Majid Khadduri Professor of International Affairs and Middle East Studies at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), and a Non-Resident Senior Fellow at Atlantic Council’s South Asia Center. He served as the eighth Dean of Johns Hopkins SAIS between 2012 and 2019 and served as Senior Advisor to U.S. Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, Ambassador Richard Holbrooke between 2009 and 2011.

Suzanne DiMaggio

Suzanne DiMaggio is a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where she focuses on U.S. foreign policy toward the Middle East and Asia. She is one of the foremost experts and practitioners of diplomatic dialogues with countries that have limited or no official relations with the United States, especially Iran and North Korea. For nearly two decades, she has led these track 1.5 and track 2 conversations to help policymakers identify pathways for diplomatic progress on a range of issues, including regional security, nonproliferation, terrorism, and governance.

Aaron David Miller

Aaron David Miller is a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, focusing on U.S. foreign policy. He has written five books, including his most recent, The End of Greatness: Why America Can’t Have (and Doesn’t Want) Another Great President (2014) and The Much Too Promised Land: America’s Elusive Search for Arab-Israeli Peace (2008). He received his PhD in Middle East and U.S. diplomatic history from the University of Michigan in 1977.

Trita Parsi (Moderator)

Trita Parsi, PhD, is an award-winning author and the 2010 recipient of the Grawemeyer Award for Ideas Improving World Order. He is an expert on US-Iranian relations, Iranian foreign politics, and the geopolitics of the Middle East. He is the co-founder and former President of the National Iranian American Council. He received his PhD in foreign policy at Johns Hopkins’ School for Advanced International Studies, a Master's Degree in International Relations from Uppsala University, and a Master's Degree in Economics from the Stockholm School of Economics.