Does Peace Have a Chance in Ukraine?
More than two years after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, trends in the war seem discouraging. Ukraine’s supplies of manpower and munitions are diminishing, and there appear to be serious obstacles in Washington and Europe to continuing flows of large-scale assistance. Can Ukraine realistically aspire to driving Russian forces out of Ukraine? What might the implications of a long-term stalemate be? Is a negotiated settlement viable? What can and should Washington do under the circumstances?
To address these questions and more, join our conversation featuring George Beebe, Director of Grand Strategy at the Quincy Institute, Samuel Charap, Distinguished Chair in Russia and Eurasia Policy at the Rand Corporation, and Liana Fix, Fellow for Europe at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). Kelley Vlahos, Senior Advisor at the Quincy Institute, moderated.
Program
Panelists
George Beebe is Director of the Grand Strategy program at the Quincy Institute. He spent more than two decades in government as an intelligence analyst, diplomat, and policy advisor, including as director of the CIA’s Russia analysis and as a staff advisor on Russia matters to Vice President Cheney. His book, The Russia Trap: How Our Shadow War with Russia Could Spiral into Nuclear Catastrophe (2019), warned how the United States and Russia could stumble into a dangerous military confrontation.
Samuel Charap
Samuel Charap is the Distinguished Chair in Russia and Eurasia Policy at the Rand Corporation. His research interests include the foreign policies of Russia and the former Soviet states; European and Eurasian regional security; and U.S.-Russia deterrence, strategic stability, and arms control. From November 2012 until April 2017, Charap was the senior fellow for Russia and Eurasia at the International Institute for Strategic Studies. Prior to joining the IISS, he served at the U.S. Department of State as senior advisor to the undersecretary for Arms Control and International Security and on the Secretary’s Policy Planning Staff, covering Russia and Eurasia.
Liana Fix
Liana Fix is a fellow for Europe at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). She is a historian and political scientist, with expertise in German and European foreign and security policy, European security, transatlantic relations, Russia, and Eastern Europe. She is also the author of "A New German Power? Germany’s Role in European Russia Policy" (Palgrave Macmillan, 2021). Dr. Fix’s work focuses on German domestic and foreign policy, the European Union, transatlantic relations, and Europe’s relations with Russia and China.
Kelley Beaucar Vlahos is a senior advisor at the Quincy Institute and editorial director of its online magazine, Responsible Statecraft. Previously she served as executive editor managing editor, and longtime foreign policy/national security writer at the American Conservative magazine. She also spent 15 years as an online political reporter for Fox News.